Tax Strategy

We’re 55 & 57 With $3.8M — Can We Retire Early and Spend $15,000/Month?

September 17, 2025

Retiring early with millions in savings sounds like the dream, right? For many, it feels like having your financial ticket punched. But there's a catch. Without a plan, hefty taxes and sky-high healthcare premiums can eat away at your hard-earned savings, sometimes adding up to six figures more than necessary. This post walks through a real-life case study that shows how the right decisions, at the right time, can help you retire earlier and keep more of what you’ve built. Whether you want to quit work in your 50s, travel more, or make “work optional,” this guide shares how to approach each money move with confidence.

After losing parents and facing growing work stress, they wanted work to become optional sooner, not because they hate their jobs, but because they value time, travel, and experiences.

They’ve now fully committed to their custom 5 Seed Plan™, which connects taxes, income, investments, healthcare, and legacy.

A Case Study: Ready to Retire Early, But What’s the Real Plan?

This story starts with a couple who set their sights on retiring in 2029. Life threw them some curveballs: losing loved ones and the stress of climbing the corporate ladder. They hit pause. Would more working years really make them happier? Their new goal: walk away from work in early 2027, not out of desperation, but to know work is truly optional.

Here’s what they bring to the table:

  • Savings: $3.7 to $3.8 million, mostly in pre-tax IRAs and 401(k)'s
  • Debt: $120,000 left on their mortgage, locked in at 3-3.5%
  • Annual Spending Goal: $12,000 to $14,000 per month after taxes (covering comfortable living, travel, and the flexibility to say yes to the things that matter most)

Many would see that amount and assume smooth sailing. But what seems like plenty isn’t a guarantee. How you turn that nest egg into an income stream, while staying tax-smart and avoiding surprise medical costs, matters more than the scoreboard balance.

Paying Off the Mortgage: To Keep or Not to Keep?

When retirement looms, many ask: should I pay off my home loan? With rates as low as 3-3.5%, this couple decided to hold onto their mortgage for now. Their reasoning:

  • Less strain on savings: No need to cash in investments (which could have tax consequences)
  • Low interest cost: A fixed, affordable monthly payment
  • Flexibility: They revisit the decision yearly as circumstances and rates change

Holding the mortgage helped them keep more options open, financial freedom isn’t always about being debt-free, especially with cheap debt.

Healthcare Before Medicare: A Six-Figure Decision

Leaving a job often means losing company-sponsored health coverage. When you retire before age 65 and Medicare eligibility, you’re staring down two main options:

  1. COBRA: Extend your workplace benefits (expensive and time-limited).
  2. ACA Marketplace: Shop for private plans, with cost heavily influenced by your reported income.

Premiums can easily reach $1,500 to $1,800 a month for a couple. However, there’s a catch: premium subsidies available via the ACA, which slash those costs if you keep your household’s modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) lower. How do you do that, while still having enough to live on every month?

The Income Sequencing Approach

The couple’s strategy becomes a masterclass in sequencing withdrawals to qualify for subsidies:

  • Start with brokerage accounts: Rely on after-tax accounts, selling investments with long-term gains. Smart tactics like tax-loss harvesting help minimize capital gains taxes.
  • Tap Roth IRAs and Roth 401ks: Withdrawals here don’t count as taxable income, keeping MAGI low.
  • Once they reach 59 1/2: Add IRA withdrawals, still controlling how much income they show each year.
  • Switch to Medicare at 65: By then, healthcare costs change, but keeping taxable income low while using tax-free and after-tax sources can save thousands.

Key takeaway: Planning isn’t about guessing every line-item. It’s about building a framework that adapts to what life hands you.

Mind the Gap: Filling the Years Before Social Security

Retiring early means facing a gap between quitting work and the start of Social Security. This couple plans to begin Social Security at age 62. Common wisdom says “wait as long as possible” for a bigger benefit, but here’s why that isn’t always the best move:

  • Up to 85% of Social Security benefits can be taxed if overall income is high.
  • Claiming earlier, while layering Roth conversions, can help keep more Social Security in your pocket over your lifetime.

The couple is in year two of a five-year Roth conversion strategy. By starting Social Security at 62, they can better control what shows up as taxable income, avoiding a spike that could eat into benefits.

Roth Conversions: Timing Is Everything

Roth conversions can shrink future taxes by moving money from pre-tax accounts (like a Traditional IRA) into a Roth IRA, paying tax on that amount now. But timing matters. When the couple pushed their retirement date forward, their plan had to pivot:

  • Converting less now: Since they’ll tap those pre-tax accounts sooner, balances will naturally shrink, lowering future required minimum distributions (RMDs) and Medicare surcharges.
  • Planning for inheritance: With a possible $500,000 inheritance in the cards, they need flexibility. When their income dips or after an inheritance hits, they’ll revisit more aggressive conversions.

If you convert too much, or too soon, you could push yourself into a higher tax bracket or pay more for Medicare (known as IRMAA surcharges). The smarter move is to convert just enough, at the right time, for the right reasons.

Avoiding Medicare IRMAA Surcharges

Medicare isn’t free. If your income crosses certain thresholds, you pay more in premiums, known as the IRMAA surcharge. Medicare looks back at your tax returns from two years prior to determine your rate. The couple’s strategy to avoid overpaying:

  • Convert to Roth in lower-income years, but not too much.
  • Spread out Roth conversions instead of doing all at once.
  • Reassess each year, watching tax law changes and income growth.

The right moves can save tens of thousands over a lifetime, money better spent on living well than on avoidable surcharges.

The War Chest Strategy: Weathering Market Storms

If you retire right before or during a bear market and need to sell investments to pay the bills, losses can do real damage. The first five years before retirement and the first ten after are often called the “The Critical 15.” Over these years, bad market timing can hurt the most.

Sequence of returns risk means that even if the market recovers later, early losses while drawing down savings can leave a permanent dent.

Building the War Chest

Here’s how the couple set up a protective buffer:

  • Allocate $500,000 to $600,000 into short-term bonds or stable-value funds inside the 401k.
  • Hold 3 to 5 years of living expenses in easily accessible, stable assets.
  • Let stocks ride out dips, so you don’t sell low during a panic.

Think of the war chest like a bridge over rough waters. It lets you fund daily life, buy time for the stock market to recover, and avoid panic selling when the headlines get scary.

Why Not Just Ride Out Market Drops?

Some believe, “The market always bounces back. Why not stay fully invested?” But if you’re forced to sell right after a sharp drop, you lose a piece of your future growth and compound the damage. Without a buffer, you might need to:

  • Delay your retirement
  • Cut back on lifestyle goals
  • Take on more investment risk than you’re comfortable with

A well-structured war chest prevents those worst-case choices and lets you retire on your schedule.

Inheritance Planning: Spend with Purpose, Build a Legacy

This couple’s objective isn’t leaving behind a massive fortune, they’d rather create lasting memories and enjoy experiences with their kids and grandkids. Still, they plan for possible inheritances, especially from aging parents, so nothing gets overlooked.

How Inheritance Rules Can Shape Your Plan

  • Inherited retirement accounts: The 10-year withdrawal rule now applies. Beneficiaries must drain inherited IRAs within a decade, paying taxes on every dollar.
  • Inherited taxable accounts: These get a step-up in cost basis, reducing capital gains, but there could still be taxes if assets are sold.
  • Planning ahead: Mapping different scenarios, running the math, and keeping a flexible plan ensures no surprises.

No guesswork. They’re ready to adjust, pivot, and take advantage of new opportunities while avoiding avoidable tax hits.

How Much Do You Really Need to Earn on Your Investments?

Many retirees obsess over returns, but the “magic number” depends on your unique mix of savings, spending, taxes, and goals. For this couple, the minimum return required over the next 45 years is 6 percent. That’s realistic with a simple investment approach.

Portfolio Plan: Keep it Simple

  • Hold 3-5 years of expenses in laddered T-bills or stable funds for safe withdrawals.
  • Invest the rest in diversified US stocks.
  • Skip fancy risk questionnaires and pie charts. Pay attention to the math and your own needs.

This isn’t about chasing big wins. It’s about ensuring you can fund a life full of travel, spontaneous dinners, and family experiences—without worrying about the market’s next mood swing.

Putting It All Together: Retire With Confidence

For this couple, the plan is dialed in:

  • Spending is mapped to real needs and wants.
  • Withdrawal order minds taxes and health insurance premiums.
  • Roth conversions happen with intention, not by habit.
  • Healthcare gaps are filled with smart sequencing.
  • Flexibility is built in, in case inheritance, markets, or healthcare rules change.

What does peace of mind look like? It’s knowing that you aren’t just retiring with a big account balance, but with a real plan that protects what you’ve earned.

Conclusion: Stop Guessing, Start Planning

Whether you have $1 million or $10 million saved, the real question isn’t “Do I have enough?” It’s “Is my plan working for me?” When, where, and how you draw income makes all the difference for your taxes, healthcare, and freedom to enjoy life.

The formula above fits real people, not just numbers on a page. It’s about keeping your money working for you as long as possible, while avoiding the big, silent drains most new retirees never see coming. Stop guessing when to retire or where to start. Get a plan that covers income, taxes, healthcare, and legacy, one that can change when life throws you a curveball.

Now’s the time to plan your retirement. Keep more of what you’ve worked for and focus on living your best years, your way.